Showing posts with label Equipment. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Equipment. Show all posts

Wednesday, July 18, 2018

Hedgeye Shines Light on Farm Machinery & Equipment MFG


One of the top research firms on Wall Street is Hedgeye.
Yesterday on twitter a post by Jay Van Sciver included charts referencing Farm Machinery Equipment Manufacturers, John Deere Equipment Sales Price Realizations and Dealer Inventories.



HEDGEYE China Warning in 2017




Equities Research is Bearish the third party CNHI retailer Titan Machinery (NASDAQ: TITN).
Titan has seen annual sales fall from $2.2 Billion to $1.2 Billion in 4 years and the company has lost over $130 million (aggregate) over that period. Titan has seen 6 directors resign including its co-founder who suddenly resigned as president after suspicious trading was done in the stock prior to a new release. 
Titan trades at over $15 a share with a $350 million market capitalization and the company is at RISK of defaulting on the Wells Fargo Indenture due May 1, 2019.
To Read the Titan Machinery Red Flags see links below. 

Titan Machinery Files 10Q Sending Stock to New YTD Low


Friday, June 8, 2018

Titan Machinery Files 10Q Sending Stock to New YTD Low





Securities and Exchange Commission Division of Corporate Finance has commented on Titan Machinery's past Filings, IS it time for them to return? 
Is it Time for FINRA and SEC to start looking at the unusual trading ahead of news in the stock of Titan?
    Titan Machinery laid off 14% of their American workers and closed 15 locations in last year to cut costs. Why did they pay one landlord in April 2018 $3 million to terminate a lease? Would it not have been in the best interest of the shareholders to keep the location? Who was the landlord of that location? was it a related party transaction? who was responsible for signing that lease and when was it signed and what was the term of that lease?
Why didn't they sell the 15 locations? Were all 15 locations worthless? If one location cost $3 million to terminate a lease does that mean all 100 locations are worthless? The company has purchased over 50 acquisitions over last two decades and are closing the stores instead of selling the stores. The company only has $50 million in cash and $395 million in current liabilities as of April 30,2018. But with the Wells Fargo Indenture due May 1,2019, the $68 million note is now moved from long term debt and needs to be added to the current liability of $395 million.


          




 In the Annual Report (10K) there is no mention that the company is in risk of going bankrupt but instead says if they violate covenants that they "would work with lenders" 


 
In 2017 the CEO said company was closing 15 locations to cut cost and laid off a significant amount of employees. This is what Wall Street wanted to hear and the stock SkyRocketed. The CEO sold over $2 million worth of stock with some sales above $21. While the COO has sold 26% of his position at $24 a share. Makes one wonder if the real reason for the store closings was for the stock to go up so they could ring their personal cash registers. The CFO was granted 149% performance Bonus for FY2018 year end.
Also during FY2018 the co-founder of the company who abruptly resigned as the President received the balance of $700,000 of his severance package. (There was no mention whether he and his spouse will still have use of aircraft company has an ownership.)
   Titan Machinery disclosed in their 10Q yesterday for the first time that Equipment revenue is made up of NonCash Consideration of equipment trade ins. How did the NonCash Consideration values contribute to the improved profit margins on the equipment sales figure? Why didn't Deloitte want this disclosed in the past? Was all the Inventory recently liquidated at auctions for a fraction on the dollar originally booked as NonCash Consideration when it was originally accepted in trade ins? what values were given on the trade-ins and how over priced were those assets inflated?  How did the NonCash Considerations effect the BONUSES and Stock Grants that were received by the Officers of the company as reward for reaching Sales milestones over the years. Note: In most recent 10K, The officers received 149% Bonuses.
      TItan Machinery Current Liabilities increased from $320 to $390 million. The Wells Fargo Indenture due May 1,2019 is approximately $70 million and the company only has $50 million cash. Titan generated negative operational cash flow of Negative $27 million in Q1. a decrease of $68 million vs Fy2018 Q1 . with negative cash flow the co may need to Raise Capital via a Debt Underwriting or an equity raise. The interest from more debt will eat any chance of a profit and additional shares thru an issuance of more stock will dilute shareholders.
In its most recent 10Q Titan Machinery disclosed for the first time that they use non cash consideration to account for equipment revenue.
This practice has never been disclosed before.
The company prior to Q filing a week earlier made a press release touting their dramatically improved equipment profit margins.
I question whether the co used non cash consideration to account for equipment revenue in the past? If so, I question the accuracy of prior filings.  The company reported nearly $2 billion in equipment revenue in the past and now equipment rev is less than $1 billion annually.
In the last 18 months the company has had to LIQUIDATE USED EQUIPMENT inventory at a fraction on the dollar to generate enough cash to pay debt and pay off the severance agreement  to their co founder who abruptly resigned as president after a DEF14 A was filed.
If the Used Equipment in the past was accounted for as non cash consideration, is it possible that those trade in values were seriously inflated to record higher revenue at the time, only to have those trade ins eventually sold for discounts at auctions?
there are plenty of other questionable disclosures that i have found and I have included them in my report (there are many links within the report) https://newsgrade.blogspot.com/2018/06/titan-machinery-files-10q-sending-stock.html









Also note, the company admitted that they inflated assets and under reported losses by 50% in a 10Q, but never restated the 10Q.
There are many related party transactions in the disclosure through out the years. Specifically $100 million worth of leases with an outside entity that management has (had) an equity stake in.  
In the company's most recent DEF14A there is a new STOCK OWNERSHIP guideline for Officers and directors stating that the officers and directors NEED to increase their holdings in the stock based on the Price of the common stock as per its dollar value. 
Also in the most recent DEF 14 the Officers received bonuses based on the company's sales benchmarks. Is there a conflict with the non cash considerations values used to figure revenue numbers?
Deloitte Audited Related Fees increased from $25k to $61k  over last last FY. Meanwhile Company sales declined dramatically. 
A co founder of the company who sits on the board is also the underwriter of the public company and receives fees. Adam Smith Investments is an outside entity controlled by this Director and Adam Smith files with SEC as a Promotor.
Company closed 15 locations in last year to cut cost. In latest 10Q they disclosed that in April 2018 they paid $3 million to terminate one lease.  I want to know who owned that location? when was lease signed? what was the term? And what it not have been in the Best interest of shareholders to keep location open?  How did the company cut costs by closing the location when they paid $3 million to terminate the lease?
The company discloses their Used and New Equipment Inventories but don't disclose the breakdown of their USED and New Equipment revenues in their 10Q. They also claim to be in the equipment rental business but according to 10Q only rental revenue came in the USA construction business and almost nil for international and agriculture divisions.  Also note the revenue for the rental segment revenue line over each quarter and then notice how in most recent 10Q the rental profit and margins declined dramatically while sales barely slipped. More importantly the gross profit of the rental business all of a sudden made up significantly less of the gross profit of the four divisions.
International revenue are not broken down by construction and agriculture for some reason. never ever.
Company also has a history of Directors leaving. Six of Eight Directors left within a 2 year period.
Also a local minnesota penny stock brokerage firm called FELTL upgraded the stock a couple years ago stating that Titan would earn over $20 Million in Net Income and gave the stock a $40 plus price target. The company has not earned a profit in over 4 years and have lost over $130 million (aggregate) in that time frame.

There are so many notes I have that you can find in my link.







FY2019 Q1 10Q Highlights:




















Titan Machinery (NASDAQ: TITN $17.34) reported FY2019 Q1 financials last week in a press release on Thursday May 31st pre-market followed by a brief Conference Call.  Titan stock traded volume over 900,000 shares and closed Thursday @ $18.09 down $2.93 (-14%) from Wednesday's close of $21.02.
Yesterday morning Titan Machinery filed FY2019 10Q with the Securities & Exchange Commission and shares hit a New intra day Year To Date low of $17.00 before closing the day @ $17.34, down $0.68  (-3.77%)  for the day.
Since Reaching a 52 week intra-day high on March 29th @ $25.09 the shares are now down $7.75 declining 31% in ten weeks. The S&P 500 Index has gained 5% over the same time frame.

Titan Machinery is a retailer of Agriculture and Construction Equipment based in Midwest USA with International locations in Europe. According to the company's disclosure the company leases their locations. At the current stock price the market capitalization is approximately $400 million.

HIGHLIGHTS OF PRESS RELEASE LAST WEEK prior to today's 10Q (CLICK HERE)

Cliff Notes









Wednesday, April 15, 2015

Titan Machinery REPORTS FY2015 LOSS ($1.51)


Wells Fargo and AgriCredit reduce credit lines available to Titan Machinery
"As of January 31, 2015, we had a Credit Agreement with Wells Fargo, which includes a $350.0 million wholesale floorplan payable line of credit, a $225.0 million credit facility with Agricredit Acceptance LLC ("Agricredit"), and the U.S. dollar equivalent of $133.0 million in credit facilities related to its foreign subsidiaries to finance equipment inventory purchases. The Wells Fargo and Agricredit credit facilities were amended effective April 2015, which reduced the available borrowings to $275.0 million and $200.0 million, respectively".

Effective April 10, 2015, the Company amended its credit facility with Wells Fargo to change certain financial covenants, reduce the available lines of credit and change the interest rate, among other things. The minimum consolidated income before income taxes covenant was eliminated for the fiscal year ended January 31, 2015, and changed to a loss of $11.0 million for the three months ended April 30, 2015, a loss of $9.0 million for the six months ended July 31, 2015, income of $1.0 million for the nine months ended October 31, 2015 and income of $10.0 million for the trailing four quarters for each period thereafter. The previous minimum income before income tax covenant was $5.0 million for the period ended January 31, 2015, $6.0 million for each of the two periods ended April 30, 2015 and July 31, 2015, $10.0 million for each of the two periods ended October 31, 2015 and January 31, 2016, and $15.0 million for each period thereafter. The maximum net leverage ratio was changed from 3.0 : 1.00 for all periods to 3.00 : 1.00 as of January 31, 2015 and April 30, 2015, 2.75 : 1.00 as of July 31, 2015 and October 31, 2015, and 2.50: 1.00 for each period thereafter. The Floorplan Payable Line was reduced from $350.0 million to $275.0 million and the Working Capital Line was reduced from $112.5 million to $87.5 million. The interest rate margin was changed from a range of 1.5% to 2.875% to a range of 1.5% to 3.125% per annum, depending upon results of the Company's consolidated leverage ratio and consolidated income before income taxes.
Effective April 1, 2015, the Company amended its credit facility with Agricredit, which decreased its available borrowings under the credit facility from $225.0 million to $200.0 million and added an annual renewal fee.


 
What a Horrible Business 0.00038% operation income/total revenue
FY2015 total revenue                     $1.9 billion
FY2015 income from operations:     $723,000
Market Capitialization                     $275 million
Price to Earnings Multiple             380 PE
What's wrong with this picture?

From Press Release: "The Company amended its bank syndicate credit facility in April 2015, and as a result of such amendment, was in compliance with all financial covenants of its credit facilities effective for the period ended January 31, 2015."

FY2016 Outlook
  Agriculture Same Store Sales Down 20% to 25%
 Construction Same Store Sales Flat 
International Same Store Sales Flat 
*points below from above report
*The first issue that they did not address is that there is a strong historical correlation between Titan’s revenue and its Inventories growth rates.
 * The ratio or multiple of Revenue that Titan has generated has ranged between 2.06 and 2.53 times its inventories since 2010.   

  WT_?
 "( including equipment inventory classified as held for sale)"

"The Company’s inventory level decreased to $879.4 million as of January 31, 2015, compared to inventory of $1.08 billion as of January 31, 2014, primarily reflecting a reduction in equipment inventory of $167.7 million (including equipment inventory classified as held for sale). The Company had $627.2 million outstanding floorplan payables on $1.2 billion total discretionary floorplan lines of credit as of January 31, 2015, reflecting a decrease of $121.5 million (including floorplan payables classified as held for sale) from the balance of $750.5 million as of January 31, 2014."

Related Party Transactions: (read more here: Most Overpriced Stock Titan Machinery)
We leased one store property pursuant to an operating lease from C.I. Farm Power, Inc., a company affiliated with Peter Christianson, our President and Director, during each of the years ended January 31, 2015, 2014 and 2013. The lease expires on July 31, 2018, subject to the right of either party to terminate upon 60 days' written notice, We also lease buildings from Dealer Sites, LLC ("Dealer Sites"), an entity in which a minority position is owned by an entity affiliated with David Meyer, the Company's Board Chair and Chief Executive Officer, Peter Christianson, the Company's President and a director, and certain other Christianson family members. An entity affiliated with Tony Christianson, one of the Company's directors, formerly held a minority interest in Dealer Sites, LLC until December, 2012. During the year ended January 31, 2013, Dealer Sites was deemed to be a related party, however, as of January 31, 2013 and through the year ended January 31, 2015, Dealer Sites was not deemed to be a related party as total related party ownership in the entity was less than 10%. The Company leased 48 buildings pursuant to different operating lease agreements with Dealer Sites, LLC ("Dealer Sites") as of January 31, 2013.


Rent expense for operating leases with related parties totaled $0.1 million, $0.1 million and $7.0 million for the years ended January 31, 2015, 2014 and 2013, respectively. The Company has leased one store property pursuant to an operating lease from C.I. Farm Power, Inc., a company affiliated with Peter Christianson, the Company's President and a director, during each of the years ended January 31, 2015, 2014 and 2013. The lease expires on July 31, 2018, subject to the right of either party to terminate upon 60 days' written notice, The Company also leases buildings from Dealer Sites, LLC ("Dealer Sites"), an entity in which a minority position is owned by an entity affiliated with David Meyer, the Company's Board Chair and Chief Executive Officer, Peter Christianson, the Company's President and a director, and certain other Christianson family members. An entity affiliated with Tony Christianson, one of the Company's directors, formerly held a minority interest in Dealer Sites, LLC until December, 2012. During the year ended January 31, 2013, Dealer Sites was deemed to be a related party, however, as of January 31, 2013 and throughout the years ended January 31, 2015 and 2014, Dealer Sites was not deemed to be a related party as total related party ownership in the entity was less than 10%. The Company leased 48 buildings pursuant to different operating lease agreements with Dealer Sites as of January 31, 2013. As of January 31, 2013, the leases expired on various dates through January 2028, contained purchase options based on fair values at the time of purchase, and provided that the lessee pay all property taxes, utilities, insurance and all expenses necessary for the general maintenance of the respective buildings. During the year ended January 31, 2013, the Company also received $1.3 million, pursuant to sale-leaseback agreements with Dealer Sites.

The Company utilizes C.I. Construction, LLC ("C.I. Construction"), an entity owned by the brother-in-law of Peter Christianson and Tony Christianson, to perform construction management services for its building and leasehold improvement projects. Payments to C.I. Construction, which include cost reimbursements of certain building supplies and other construction costs, totaled $1.9 million, $3.9 million and $6.7 million for the years ended January 31, 2015, 2014 and 2013, respectively. The Company also had accounts receivable from C.I. Construction of $0.1 million outstanding as of January 31, 2014; no such amounts were outstanding as of January 31, 2015. During the year ended January 31, 2013, the Company also paid a total of $0.2 million to Cherry Tree & Associates, LLC, an entity affiliated with Tony Christianson, primarily for services related to the Senior Convertible Notes offering.

  
    •  










Tuesday, August 26, 2014

DANGER: Titan Machinery Bond Hits ALL TIME LOW....****Alert

*****ALERT.....*****ALERT....the end of Titan Machinery is rapidly approaching.

Titan Machinery Convertible Indenture (2019) hit a NEW all time low yesterday @ $79.00 yield 9.39%

Titan Machinery will be reporting FY2015 2nd quarter financials for the period ending July 31,2014 withing the next month.


#bearish

Bond:
Titan Machinery (NASDAQ: TITN)
Convertible Bond 3.75%  Maturity:2019.
Closed Yesterday:  $79.00 w 9.39% yield.



Date of Offering : April 18,2012 
Amount of Debt: $150 million Convertible




Stock: (Stock Research)
Titan Machinery (NASDAQ: TITN) closed yesterday at $13.65 on volume of 120,358 shares. The stock has closed below $14 for the ninth consecutive session.

Titan Machinery FY2014 annual report (10K) .


  •  FY 2014 Net Income declined 79% from $42 million in FY 2013 to $8.8 million for FY 2014.
  •  April 10th announced the closing of 7 construction stores and 1 agriculture location

TITN 2 year chart vs. S&P500 (source: BigCharts )


Monday, August 18, 2014

Awaiting Titan Machinery Q2 Results

Titan Machinery (NASDAQ: TITN) Fiscal Year 2015 2nd quarter ended July 31,2014. Over the last several years Titan has reported Q2 financials within the first 10 days of September. Titan has not yet announced when they will be reporting Q2  financials.

Don't Be Surprised if Titan Machinery Pre-Announces Q2  Financials in August
Investors should note that in 2013 Titan shares were halted after the close on May 23,2013 when the company uncharacteristically announced preliminary  FY2014 Q1 financials (approximately 2 weeks before they normally released Q1 numbers). In the press release and on the conference call the following morning, the company  significantly lowered expected Q1 financials and cut their year end FY2014 outlook dramatically.

FY2013 Q1 May 23,2013 Titan Machinery Press Release:
  • "First quarter fiscal 2014 revenue is expected to be approximately $50 million less than the Company previously anticipated;"
  •  "Preliminary loss per diluted share for the first quarter of fiscal 2014 is expected to be in the range of $(0.01) to $(0.03) on approximately 20.9 million weighted average diluted common shares outstanding, compared to net income of $0.36 on approximately 21.0 million weighted average diluted common shares outstanding in the first quarter last year."
  •  "believe we will see improvements in our construction segment in the second quarter and throughout the remainder of fiscal 2014."
FY2013 Q2 reported on September 5,2013 Company  press release



FY2013 Q2 Financials Examined by Equities Research LLC,

  •  Thursday, September 5, 2013

    Titan Machinery EPS Falls 73%

    Titan Machinery Lowered Guidance for FY2014 from  $1.70-$2.00 down to $1.20-$1.50
    Q2 Operational Cash flow NEGATIVE $42 million


    EPS declined 73% 6 months
    FY2013 6 months : $0.60
    FY2014 6 months : $0.16

    EPS declined 28% Q2 vs Q2
    FY2013 Q2 : $0.25
    FY2014 Q2 : $0.18

    CASH declined $22 million
    January 31,2013 : $124 million (Accounts Payable $28 million)
    July 31,2013 :       $102 million (Accounts Payable $39 million)

    Total Current Liabilities
    January 31,2013 : $804 million
    July 31,2013 :       $969 million

    Total Long Term Liabilities 
    January 31,2013: $239 million
    July 31,2013 :      $264 million

    Net Income vs Operational Cash Flow
    Trailing 10 quarters ending July 31,2013 Net Income:                 $89 million
    Trailing 10 quarters ending July 31,2013 OP. Cash Flow:        -($345 million)