Showing posts with label High Risk. Show all posts
Showing posts with label High Risk. Show all posts

Thursday, August 21, 2014

Titan Machinery Bond (2019) Makes Third New YTD Low In 2 Weeks

 #bearish

Bond:
Titan Machinery (NASDAQ: TITN)
Convertible Bond 3.75%  Maturity:2019.
Closed Yesterday:  $81.13 w 8.73% yield.


Date of Offering : April 18,2012 
Amount of Debt: $150 million Convertible




Stock: (Stock Research)
Titan Machinery (NASDAQ: TITN) closed yesterday at $13.50 on volume of 91,868 shares. The stock has closed below $14 for the sixth consecutive session.

Titan Machinery FY2014 annual report (10K) .


  •  FY 2014 Net Income declined 79% from $42 million in FY 2013 to $8.8 million for FY 2014.
  •  April 10th announced the closing of 7 construction stores and 1 agriculture location.

Thursday, June 19, 2014

New Credit Agreement Requirements Makes Titan Highly Speculative



New Credit Agreement Requirements Makes Titan Highly Speculative
Investors with high risk tolerance looking to make multiples on their investment seek out highly speculative stocks. There are thousands of these stocks available on the over the counter bulletin board and pink sheet market, trading at pennies per share.  Investors are looking at these micro cap stocks that mostly trade below a $10 million market capitalizations and hope the underlying businesses can grow to $100 million valuation one day over the long term.  The common denominator among these stocks is the inability for these businesses to generate enough internal operational cash flow to grow.  These companies are all out seeking financing from Wall Street firms, on both the debt and equity side. Will Titan do another Underwriting soon?

Titan Machinery was a little private reseller of agriculture and construction equipment located in the mid west prior to it successfully going public in December 2007.  
By Titan being a publicly traded company it was able through the years to raise equity and debt to compensate for their inability to generate operational cash flow.  Since February 1,2009 Titan has generated over $517 million in Negative Operational Cash flow.
 

  • FY2010 Negative $47 million Operational Cash Flow
  •  FY2011 Negative $35 million Operational Cash Flow 
  •  (FY2012 Q2) Equity Underwriting 4.2 million shares @ $28.75
  •  FY2012 Negative $182 million Operational Cash Flow 
  • (FY2013 Q2) Debt Underwriting $150 million Convertible Note 
  •  FY2013 Negative  $115 million Operational Cash Flow 
  •  FY2014 Negative $82 million Operational Cash Flow
  •  FY2015 Q1 Negative $54 million Operational Cash Flow 



Since Wells Fargo has recently made two amendments to the $150 million Credit agreement, Titan’s risk of violating these new covenants has increased substantially. Unlike most high risk micro cap securities that have low market capitalization with high upsides, Titan Machinery trading near $16  per share has an even higher risk with an $330 million downside if it was to default on its note.

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Sunday, April 13, 2014

10K FootNote: Wells Fargo Tightens Debt Agreement (again) on Titan Machinery

Friday morning Titan Machinery filed with the Securities & Exchange Commission its annual report (10K) for Fiscal year 2014 for the period ending January 31,2014.
  •  FY 2014 Net Income declined 79% from $42 million in FY 2013 to $8.8 million for FY 2014.
  • Titan's cash position declined to $74 million from $125 million in FY 2013.
    (Total Liabilities are over $1.1 billion)

 In the Footnote Exhibit 10.53 terms of Titan Machinery's $150 million convertible note with Wells Fargo is disclosed with Amendments that were made on April 3,2014.

 (Note Titan's 1st Quarter of FY 2015 ends in less than 3 weeks. Thursday April 10th announced that they would be closing 7 construction sore and 1 agriculture location and the company will be taking a $4.2 million pre-tax charge, or $0.12 per diluted share, associated with the Company’s realignment that it expects to be realized in the first quarter of fiscal 2015.)
  


1.1.6    Effective as of the Third Amendment Effective Date, Section 6.12(a) of the Credit Agreement is hereby deleted in its entirety and the following is substituted therefor:
(a)    Consolidated Net Leverage Ratio. Borrower shall maintain, (a) as at the end of each Fiscal Period ending April 30, 2014 through the Fiscal Period ending October 31, 2014, a Consolidated Net Leverage Ratio not greater than 3.25 : 1.00, and (b) as at the end of each Fiscal Period from and after the Fiscal Period ending January 31, 2015, a Consolidated Net Leverage Ratio not greater than 3.00 : 1.00.
1.1.7    Section 6.12(b) of the Credit Agreement is hereby deleted in its entirety and the following is substituted therefor:

(b)    Consolidated Fixed Charge Coverage Ratio. Borrower shall maintain, as at the end of each Fiscal Period, a Consolidated Fixed Charge Coverage Ratio not less than 1.25 : 1.00.

1.1.8    The following is hereby inserted in the Credit Agreement as Section 6.12(c):

(c)    Consolidated Net Income. Borrower shall maintain, (a) as at the end of each Fiscal Period ending January 31, 2014 through the Fiscal Period ending October 31, 2014, for the period consisting of the four consecutive Fiscal Periods ending on such date, a Consolidated Net Income of not less than $5,000,000.00, and (b) as at the end of each Fiscal Period from and after the Fiscal Period ending January 31, 2015, for the period consisting of the four consecutive Fiscal Periods ending on such date, a Consolidated Net Income of not less than $10,000,000.00. For purposes of this Section 6.12(c) only, (a) for all Fiscal Periods through the Fiscal Period ending October 31, 2014, the One-Time Impairment Charge (net of the tax benefit to the extent already included in the determination of Consolidated Net Income) shall be excluded from the calculation of Consolidated Net Income, and (b) for all Fiscal Periods through the Fiscal Period ending October 31, 2014 for that portion of the One-Time Restructuring Charge incurred in the Fiscal Period ending January 31, 2014, and through the Fiscal Period January 31, 2015 for that portion of the One-Time Restructuring Charge incurred in the Fiscal Period ending April 30, 2014, the One-Time Restructuring Charge (net of the tax benefit to the extent already included in the determination of Consolidated Net Income) shall be excluded from the calculation of Consolidated Net Income.


3rd Quarter 10Q Footnote 10.2 Wells Fargo



1.1.5       Effective as of October 31, 2013, Sections 6.12(a) and (b) of the Credit Agreement are hereby deleted in their entirety and the following are substituted therefor:

(a)           Consolidated Net Leverage Ratio.  Borrower shall maintain, (a) as at the end of the Fiscal Period ending October 31, 2013, a Consolidated Net Leverage Ratio not greater than 3.75 : 1.00, (b) as at the end of each Fiscal Period beginning with the Fiscal Period ending January 31, 2014 through the Fiscal Period ending October 31, 2014, a Consolidated Net Leverage Ratio not greater than 3.50 : 1.00, (c) as at the end of the Fiscal Period ending January 31, 2015, a Consolidated Net Leverage Ratio not greater than 3.25 : 1.00, and (d) as at the end of each Fiscal Period from and after the Fiscal Period ending April 30, 2015, a Consolidated Net Leverage Ratio not greater than 3.00 : 1.00.

(b)           Consolidated Fixed Charge Coverage Ratio.  Borrower shall maintain, (a) as at the end of each Fiscal Period beginning with the Fiscal Period ending October 31, 2013 through the Fiscal Period ending January 31, 2014, a Consolidated Fixed Charge Coverage Ratio not less than 1.15 : 1.00, (b) as at the end of each Fiscal Period beginning with the Fiscal Period ending April 30, 2014 through the Fiscal Period ending October 31, 2014, a Consolidated Fixed Charge Coverage Ratio not less than 1.20 : 1.00, and (c) as at the end of each Fiscal Period from and after the Fiscal Period ending January 31, 2015, a Consolidated Fixed Charge Coverage Ratio not less than 1.25 : 1.00.



  • SECTION 6.12                            FINANCIAL COVENANTS.

    (a)           Consolidated Net Leverage Ratio.  Borrower shall maintain, (a) as at the end of each Fiscal Period beginning with the Fiscal Period ending January 31, 2012 through the Fiscal Period ending January 31, 2014, a Consolidated Net Leverage Ratio not greater than 3.00 : 1.00, and (b) as at the end of each Fiscal Period from and after the Fiscal Period ending April 30, 2014, a Consolidated Net Leverage Ratio not greater than 2.50 : 1.00.

    (b)           Consolidated Fixed Charge Coverage Ratio.  Borrower shall maintain, as at the end of each Fiscal Period ending after the Closing Date, a Consolidated Fixed Charge Coverage Ratio not less than 1.25 : 1.00 for the then trailing twelve month period.

    ******definitions from original indenture:


    Consolidated Fixed Charge Coverage Ratio means, as of the last day of a fiscal quarter, for the period consisting of the four consecutive Fiscal Periods ending on such date, subject to Section 1.02(h), the ratio of:  (a) the sum for such period of (without duplication):  (i) Consolidated EBITDAR; minus (ii) all payments in cash for taxes related to income made by Borrower and its Subsidiaries; minus (iii) Capital Expenditures actually made in cash by Borrower and its Subsidiaries (net of any insurance proceeds, condemnation awards or proceeds relating to any financing with respect to such expenditures); minus (iv) Restricted Payments paid in cash by Borrower; to (b) of:  (i) Consolidated Interest Expense; plus (ii) Consolidated Rent Expense; plus (iii) without duplication, all current maturities of long-term Debt (including with respect to Debt that is a capital lease).

    Consolidated Interest Expense means, for any period, for Borrower and its Subsidiaries on a consolidated basis, the sum of (without duplication):  (a) all interest, premium payments, debt discount, fees, charges and related expenses in connection with borrowed money (including capitalized interest) or in connection with the deferred purchase price of assets during such period; plus (b) all payments made under interest rate Swap Contracts during such period to the extent not included in clause (a) of this definition; minus (c) all payments received under interest rate Swap Contracts during such period; plus (d) the portion of rent expense with respect to such period under capital leases that is treated as interest in accordance with GAAP.

    Consolidated Leverage Ratio means, as of any date of determination, the ratio of:  (a)  Consolidated Total Liabilities; to (b) Consolidated Tangible Net Worth.

    Consolidated Net Incomemeans for any period, the sum of net income (or loss) for such period of the Borrower and its Subsidiaries on a consolidated basis determined in accordance with GAAP, but excluding any income of any Person if such Person is not a Subsidiary, except that the Borrower’s direct or indirect equity in the net income of any such person for such period shall be included in such Consolidated Net Income in accordance with GAAP.

    Consolidated Net Leverage Ratio means, as of any date of determination, the ratio of:  (a) the sum of (i) Consolidated Total Liabilities, minus (ii) the amount by which Cash Equivalents held by Borrower and its Subsidiaries as of such date of determination exceed $30,000,000; to (b) Consolidated Tangible Net Worth.

    Consolidated Rent Expense means for such period, total rental expenses attributable to operating leases of the Borrower and its Subsidiaries for real property on a consolidated basis.

Click to Wells Fargo $150 million Indenture disclosure with SEC  "The effective interest rate of the liability component for the period ended January 31,2013 was equal to 7.00%"
Date of Offering : April 18,2012 
Amount of Debt: $150 million Convertible