7 Lessons From 2025 | Signal or Noise Ep 64 | Charlie Bilello

Charlie Bilello has posted on X and youtube to share year end statistics for 2025. Today's blog is to share statistics from his X posts and a youtube video.  Whether you're new to investing or a seasoned veteran, Charlie is a must follow.

From Bilello.blog: "Charlie Bilello is the Chief Market Strategist at Creative Planning, a nationally recognized wealth management firm with over $370 billion in combined assets under management and advertisement"

2025 Total Returns...
Gold $GLD: +64%
Developed ex-US $VEA: +35%
EM $IEMG: +33%
Nasdaq 100 $QQQ: +21%
S&P 500 $SPY: +18%
Small Caps $IWM: +13%
Commodities $DBC: +8%
US Bonds $AGG: +7%
Cash $BIL: +4%
REITs $VNQ: +3%
Bitcoin $BTC: -6%
Volatility $VXX: -42%https://t.co/rQuXrxVXM0

— Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) December 31, 2025

The S&P 500 hit 39 more all-time highs in 2025. $SPX pic.twitter.com/bB9Eehem1n

— Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) December 31, 2025

5 out of the 7 stocks in the Magnificent Seven actually underperformed the S&P 500 this year, a very different picture than 2023/2024. Only Google and Nvidia outperformed. pic.twitter.com/IxDZ4PSGhx

— Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) December 31, 2025

Bitcoin Returns since 2010...$BTChttps://t.co/l5IYmkf6Ih pic.twitter.com/pM8Ev1MNWo

— Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) December 31, 2025

Gold (+64%) was the best performing major asset in 2025 while Bitcoin (-6%) was the worst. Something we haven't seen before in any calendar year (the inverse of 2013). $GLD $BTChttps://t.co/l5IYmkf6Ih pic.twitter.com/PKnoJifNOR

— Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) January 1, 2026

The US Bond Market was up 7.3% in 2025, its best year since 2020. Still on pace to be the worst decade ever for bonds with an annualized return so far of less than 1% from 2020-2025. pic.twitter.com/aYBqfBCsRy

— Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) January 1, 2026

The best performing commodities in 2025: Silver (+147%) and Gold (+65%).https://t.co/l5IYmkf6Ih pic.twitter.com/lG6eV1HyRK

— Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) January 1, 2026

The best performing commodities in 2025: Silver (+147%) and Gold (+65%).https://t.co/l5IYmkf6Ih pic.twitter.com/lG6eV1HyRK

— Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) January 1, 2026

The best performing stocks in the S&P 500 last year... pic.twitter.com/WOVTkdFNjj

— Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) January 1, 2026

The worst performing stocks in the S&P 500 last year... pic.twitter.com/dZefG7h3w0

— Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) January 1, 2026

Berkshire Hathaway Technical Sell Signal

Berkshire Hathaway has traded in line with the overall market through the latest bull market. Technically the Stock has been flagged with this bearish signal and if this flag plays out to the downside the overall market may be headed lower as well.

Berkshire Hathaway death cross. pic.twitter.com/xtabEYyrSd

— Joseph Weisenthal (@TheStalwart) June 5, 2015

Wednesday, April 29, 2015"Gold is Only Answer" Fred Hickey Tweets "Stock Market is Toast",

Making Money When the Market Heads Lower

"Gold is Only Answer" Fred Hickey Tweets "Stock Market is Toast",

With QE ovr & major stock indices already struggling to make ANY headway,now the lead sled dog(AAPL)no longer pulling.Stock market is toast!
— fred hickey (@htsfhickey) April 28, 2015

When does the world say the magic words: QE doesn't work! The global econ is a wreck The FED will NEVER raise rates. Gold is the only answer
— fred hickey (@htsfhickey) January 27, 2015

As long as gold price holds up, miners could begin to outperform just as they did at the beginning of the secular bull mkt for several yrs.
— fred hickey (@htsfhickey) April 21, 2015

Who knew? No rate hike in June. Next-no rate hike in Sept, then Dec. Then no hikes in 2016, 2017. When will people wake up? Fed is trapped.
— fred hickey (@htsfhickey) April 17, 2015

Top Short Picks from Equities Research 

 Stratasys is now trading @ $42 this morning pre-market after the company announced last night after the close weak fundamentals.

Equities Research Warned on Shulman @$48 on April 7th and shares closed last night under $42.

Equities research Warned on Titan Machinery @ $30 and shares fell to a ytd low on March 10th @ $12.10. Shares have since gained 31% trading at a Market Capitalization of $310 million. Equities Research continues to warn on TITAN as it trades at a forward PE over 700.

Order Equities Research Newsletter 

Follow Fred Hickey on Twitter here

Tweets by @htsfhickey

Suttmeier's Gold Warning at Top is Legendary

Followers of Equities Research may remember this February 2012 post highlighting Richard Suttmeier's Warning on Gold @ $1781.  Since the warning, the GCM5 futures have declined $583, closing the week @ $1198 (33% lower).

GCM5 chart since the February 24,2012 warning through this week's close. (www.bigcharts.com)

Friday, February 10, 2012

GOLD: Suttmeier's Morning Call is a Must Read

Suttmeier:  "We did have a bubble in gold, the bubble popped and we're now trying to reflate," says Richard Suttmeier of valuengine.com in the attached clip. He says that the recent upward trend isn't as much a return to gold's past glories but rather a bounce to be sold. For Suttmeier the end of gold's rally is neigh." from Yahoo! interview with Jeff Macke
 

If you're invested in GOLD, I recommend that you listen to Richard Suttmeier every morning, noon and night

From February 24,2012 Suttmeier wrote: 

• "Gold reached a year to date high at $1789.5 closing in on my monthly risky level at $1816.4. If gold fails, the next decline below $1700 will
  likely cause a 50-day / 200-day SMA “death cross” as these moving averages are converged at $1669.5 and $1663.5"
  
  

  Follow Richard Suttmeier on Twitter live :

    

Tweets by @Suttmeier

GOLD: Suttmeier's Morning Call is a Must Read

Richard Suttmeier says : "...Gold is above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages at $1668.0 and $1653.7 and converging. If gold
tops out and the 50-day falls below the 200-day it would be a “death cross”.
read Richard's entire morning report at Value Engine here .


SUTTMEIER ON YAHOO: "We did have a bubble in gold, the bubble popped and we're now trying to reflate," says Richard Suttmeir of valuengine.com in the attached clip. He says that the recent upward trend isn't as much a return to gold's past glories but rather a bounce to be sold. For Suttmeier the end of gold's rally is neigh.

If you're invested in GOLD, I recommend that you listen to Richard Suttmeier every morning, noon and night