Showing posts with label Objet. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Objet. Show all posts

Monday, May 13, 2013

After the Close: Stratasys Reports (Negative) Operational Cash Flow

Stratasys Ltd (NASDAQ: SSYS) released a 1st quarter 2013 press release this morning before the market opened, followed by an 60 minute conference call at 8:30am est.

The Press Released focused on positive NON GAAP performance and attributed their weak GAAP performance due to merger expenses.
(from the press release:
  • "Non-GAAP net income of $17.6 million for the first quarter, or $0.43 per diluted share, represents a 40% increase over the pro forma non-GAAP $12.6 million, or $0.32 per diluted share, reported for the same period last year.
  • GAAP net income for the first quarter was a loss of $15.5 million, or ($0.40) per share, versus a pro forma loss of $8.4 million, or ($0.23) per share, for the same period last year."
The stock opened up @ $85.57, and after trading over 2.3 million shares closed the day @ $85.34. Shares are trading at 9 TIMES SALES! 

There was approximately 20 Bullish Press Releases made throughout the trading day from Investor's Business Daily, Motley Fool, TheStreet.com and SeekingAlpha.
All the headlines spoke about : "IS A BUY", "EARNINGS BEAT", "Unusually High Volume", "Price Target Increase", "ADVANCE",  "Upgrade", "Price Target Increase", "Unleash", "Craze", "Monster Volume", "Solid", Rally" to name a few..It sounded like the Internet Bubble Age when Wall Street was enamored with the DOT.COM Hype.

What bothered me all day is that all the press releases and conference call made no mention of the company's statement of cash flow. A dozen analyst participated in the Q & A on the conference call and not one asked about cash flow.

It wasn't until 6pm this evening that the statement of cash flow was disclosed, and oh boy, it was WEAK!

Operational Cash Flow for the 1st Quarter 2013 stayed negative for the third consecutive quarter. 
Q1 2012 + $6,878,000
Q1 2013 -$12,252,000 (-278%)

Q4 2011  +$9,551,000
Q4 2012  -$815,000 (-109%)

Q3 2011  +$5,935,000
Q3 2012  -$9,629,000 (-262%)

Trailing Twelve months ending March 31,2012 : + $25,782,000
Trailing Twelve months ending March 31,2013   - $17,637,000 (-168%)



On April 13, 2012, the day prior to announcing the merger, shares of SSYS were under $35.00, with 21 million shares outstanding (for a $735 million market capitalization.)
 

So this is more than a stock going from $35 to $82 per share, this is about a company market capitalization going from $735 million to $3.2 billion in 1 year...when all they did was merge with another company to have the combined entity report $1.4 million Operating cash flow for 2012!



  • April 2012 : 21 million shares outstanding at $35 a share.

Market cap was $775 million


  • March 23,2013 38.5 million shares outstanding at $72 a share. Market cap was $2.7 billion


  • Today 41.1 million shares outstanding @ $84 a share. market cap is $3.4 billion


Carrying $822 million of GOODWILL is another great line item. and the HALF BILLION DOLLAR increase in INTANGIBLE assets

  • Company will add 4 million shares outstanding on January 1st 2014 for authorized issuance of stock to management.



Today's numbers included a $300,000 tax credit. no mention of it anywhere.
  • From March Year end SEC disclosure:Q1 will have this $300,000 tax credit,
    •  In January of 2013, the President of the U.S. signed into law The American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012, which contained provisions that retroactively extended the U.S. research and experimentation tax credit to 2012 and 2013. Because the extension did not occur by December 31, 2012, the Company’s effective income tax rate for 2012 did not include the benefit of the credit for 2012. However, because the credit was retroactively extended to include 2012, the Company expects to recognize the full benefit of the 2012 credit in the first quarter of 2013. The Company estimates that its credit for 2012 is approximately $300,000. That amount will be reported as a discrete income tax benefit in the first quarter of 2013.


(THe original deal of the combined entities was valued at $1.4 billionchanged to $2.2 billion in Piper Merger disclosure during Q3 2013 in this DEF Proxy, and was changed again December (according to most recent 20F annual report, where Objet alone was valued at $1.4 billion:.

  •  
    As described in note 2, in December 2012, for accou
    nting purposes, Stratasys, Inc. was deemed to have
    acquired Objet for a purchase price of
    $1,341 million, and as a result, the Company recogn
    ized $797.1 million in goodwill.

Only problem now is OBJET shareholders will need to get liquid. 6 month period is June 1,2013 (December 3rd 2012 was close of deal). Expect 45% of shares outstanding to be registered within 3 weeks.
Older Posts:
Stratasys Reminds me of the Chanos breakdown of HPQ

Tuesday, January 15, 2013

3 D Printer Stock Stratasys is Gonna Get Flattened

CLICK YouTube Video Created on January 14,2013 DDD & SSYS


To See a technical chart by Greg Harmon of DragonFly Capital,  click here:  

Click to Equities Research original post at my home page.  

After Reporting 2011 2nd quarter financials for the period ending June 30,2011, Stockdiagnostics upgraded SSYS from a 2 to 1 ranking (highest ranking) because the company reported it's 4th consecutive positive operational cash flow quarter. Shares have since climbed from $25 to over $80.

SSYS reported 2012 3rd quarter financials for the period ending September 30,2012 and the company reported Negative operational cash flow of -($9.6 million) a 262% decline vs. Q3 2011. hence the downgrade.


click image to enlarge:





  • ON December 3,2012 Stratasys announced the completed Merger of Objet Inc. 

    This acquisition brought the number of shares outstanding to 41 million.
    At $83 a share the company today has a market capitalization over $3.4 billion.

    The problem is if you go to the Company's investor relations page   .
    it states the company only has 21 million shares outstanding and  a $1.8 billion market cap. (40 days have passed since the share number has increased to 41.
    This error also appears at Yahoo Finance and Morningstar. 

    Motley Fool has published articles analyzing the stock using 21 million shares outstanding and not 41 million shares outstanding.

    ...and the Yahoo message boards have too many rumors to list about the company possibly being taken over by General Electric or Hewlett Packard.

    The Annual CES Show  last week added hype to the fire as well. 

    If these online financial websites have the wrong number of shares outstanding then it begs to ask the following questions:


    I would think that with nearly twice as many shares outstanding that the EPS (Earning Per Share of $0.86 should probably need to be reduced (adjusted lower) or the PE multiple will need to be Ratched up.

    Of course Objet numbers (earnings, if there are any) will need to be added to EPS  or subtracted).

    The short interest % ratio should probably be looked at as well. if every other data point is adjusted I guess short interest is probably going to be lower %.

    The daily volume of shares all of sudden is less in proportion to more shares outstanding as well. In other words, in November 600,000 share average volume was significant with only 21 million shares outstanding.

    Today's 399,000 share volume means even less in the big picture with nearly twice as many shares outstanding.

    volume this DRY at a top (all time high  (18 yr) was made last week @ $87) is referenced as a CROWDED TRADE.

    this could end badly.

    I think the Company SSYS is way overdue to Update their Investor Relations Website where they say there are only 21 million shares outstanding.

    I know they use Morningstar numbers but that is no excuse for posting an erroneous number.

    Its been nearly 40 days and their investor relation page still shows $1.8 billion mkt cap.


    Objet was valued at $1,015,633,034 according to merger valuation in SEC filing. Objet owns 45% of new entity and the former SSYS retained 55%. (excluding options and insider positions and miscel.).
     not that important but original SSYS would be $1.2 billion value.
    Now together 40 days later valuation is still over $3 billion

     My letter to the WSJ and BloombergAlthough WSJ & Bloomberg have the correct shares outstanding and mkt capitalization correct, neither of them Readjusted the EPS. THE EPS on these two sites needs to be adjusted down taking into account more shares. THe $0.86 EPS they state should be $0.46 and then they would also have to correct their PE multiples from 98 to 190 PE.
    hi
                 on your quote page for the ticker SSYS

    you adjusted the shares outstanding correctly to 41 million up from 21 million.

    but you did not adjust the eps down fro $0.86 to $0.47

    and you would then need to change the PE from 99 to 190

    Bloomberg page is wrong too in the same way.

    meanwhile Morningstar, Yahoo FInance and SSYS's home page still show 21 million shares outstanding and the mkt cap they show is a mere $1.8 billion which should be $3.4 billion the way WSJ has it.


    Someone need to fix all this ERRONEOUS DATA and let the world Know

    small investors think their buying at a PE of 98 when they're buying at a PE of maybe 190, maybe even higher

    WALL STREET JOURNAL ONLINE responds to my email : click here 

    Learn About Importance of Operational Cash Flow: