Monday, July 16, 2012

Stockdiagnostics Upgrades : Weekend Stats

the following posts were posted at Equities Research this weekend.



company
ticker
date
$ Upgrade
$ Close
Time
% Return
CERN
5/8/2003
$5.31
$80.29
9y
1412%
CATM
5/12/2009
$3.02
$31.17
38m
932%
ALXN
5/13/2009
$16.85
$97.09
3y
477%
PATK
4/6/2011
$2.75
$14.64
15m
432%
ULTI
8/16/2006
$21.12
$88.20
6y
317%
AZO
3/20/2006
$97.32
$382.45
6y
293%
SBAC
11/16/2005
$16.70
$56.91
6y
240%
ELLI
11/17/2011
$5.57
$18.56
8m
233%
MGAM
5/19/2010
$4.65
$15.41
26m
231%
EGHT
8/9/2010
$1.40
$4.40
23m
214%
ATHN
8/4/2008
$27.22
$81.84
47m
200%
FMX
5/12/2009
$29.86
$87.48
38m
192%
CMN
12/17/2007
$9.76
$27.83
5y
185%
WNR
11/11/2010
$8.65
$24.47
20m
183%
RA
9/3/2010
$10.37
$26.22
22m
153%
AOS
5/11/2009
$19.72
$47.74
40m
152%
CAMP
5/16/2011
$3.18
$7.90
14m
148%
JBSS
9/6/2011
$7.87
$19.16
10m
143%
LF
5/11/2011
$4.51
$10.85
14m
140%
NATH
8/17/2009
$13.05
$30.70
35m
135%
LL
11/1/2011
$14.73
$33.74
9m
129%
PCYC
2/13/2012
$23.23
$53.05
5m
128%
MCK
2/2/2009
$43.48
$94.88
39m
118%
HW
2/7/2012
$2.72
$5.86
5m
115%
ADS
3/10/2010
$61.71
$132.23
27m
114%
GHDX
5/17/2010
$15.95
$34.21
26m
114%
DPS
5/18/2009
$20.70
$44.09
38m
113%
NOIZ
11/15/2011
$7.02
$14.69
8m
109%
CRAY
8/3/2011
$6.13
$12.47
11M
103%
BleGreen Corporation
BXG
8/19/2009
$2.84
$5.70
3y
100%
LIVE
2/23/2012
$5.25
$10.40
5m
98%
SALM
8/16/2011
$2.88
$5.60
11m
94%
TESS
2/9/2011
$12.11
$22.11
17m
82%
STZ
7/16/2010
$16.34
$29.29
2y
79%
DVA
5/8/2007
$55.12
$98.98
5y
79%
NU
5/22/2008
$22.51
$39.88
50m
77%
DIS
2/14/2005
$27.02
$47.41
7y
75%
DTE
11/9/2009
$34.53
60.24
34m
74%
AUTH
11/16/2011
$3.02
$5.19
8m
71%
CNL
5/17/2010
$25.78
$43.97
26m
70%
BBSI
8/19/2010
$12.60
$21.43
2y
70%
COST
12/28/2009
$58.70
$94.79
31m
61%
ACET
11/14/2011
$5.78
$9.16
10m
58%
LNT
3/11/2010
$3,042
$46.65
28M
53%
AXP
3/9/2010
$38.14
$57.93
28m
52%
MIC
9/5/2011
$23.66
$34.04
10m
47%
SWHC
3/12/2012
$6.74
$9.63
4m
43%
TUES
11/10/2011
$3.57
$5.03
8m
40%
PAA
8/11/2011
$60.62
$84.42
11M
39%
EXP
5/31/2011
$28.25
$38.24
14m
35%
HOTT
5/27/2011
$7.38
$9.97
14m
35%
Grupo Simec, S.A.B.
SIM
7/11/2011
$7.57
$9.78
1y
29%
HSNI
11/8/2011
$37.75
$42.60
9m
13%





























































































































































































































































































































































































Monday, July 9, 2012

Amerigroup, 21st Stockdiagnostics Upgrade Acquired in 7 Months

originally published at Equities Research with charts

7/9/2012

Amerigroup Corporation (NYSE: AGP) announced today it will be acquired for $92 a share by WellPoint, Inc (NYSE: WLP). Stockdiagnostics upgraded AGP @ $38.96 on August 9,2010 after the company reported 2nd quarter financials for the period ending June 30,2010. In less than 2 years since the upgrade shares have appreciated 136%.
<click to AGP Stockdiagnostics OPS chart
<click to AGP Stockdiagnostics OPS 5 year chart
<click to AGP Stockdiagnostics FCF chart
<click to AGP Stockdiagnostics FCF 5 year chart
<click to AGP GFNN news story 2
<click to AGP GFNN news story



21 Stockdiagnostics Upgrades Recently Acquired

companytickerAcquirer LOIdate$ Upgrade$ CloseTime% Returnvs.S&P500
Amerigroup Corp.AGPWellPoint7/9/2012$38.96 $92.00 23 mos136%19.92%
Amylin PharmaceuticaAMLNBristol-Myer6/29/2012$12.51 $31.00 13 mos145%1.50%
Integramed AmericaINMDSCP, L.P.6/11/2012$13.68 $10.30 15 mos32%0.81%
Edgar Online, Inc.EDGRR.R.Donnell5/23/2011$0.76 $1.08 9 mos42%10.47%
Aribe Inc.ARBASAP5/22/2011$7.34 $45.00 6 yrs513%-6.81%
Golfsmith It'l Hold,IncGOLFGolf Town5/14/2012$4.15 $6.10 14 mos47%2.15%
GTSI CorporationGTSIUniCom5/14/2012$7.71 $5.00 1 yr54%1.68%
Cost Plus, Inc.CPWMBBBY5/10/2012$4.58 $22.00 2 yrs380%28.64%
Easy Link Service IntESICOpen Text5/3/2012$1.80 $7.16 29 mos302%26.97%
Charming ShoppesCHRSAscena R5/2/2012$4.18 $7.35 13 mos75%5.57%
Ardea Biosciences IncRDEAAstraZen4/24/2012$3.35 $32.00 6 yrs855%6.02%
Knology Inc.KNOLWOW, Int4/18/2012$9.91 $19.75 6 yrs99%6.76%
X-Rite, IncorporatedXRITDanaher4/11/2012$1.97 $5.54 3 yrs181%51.49%
Transcend ServicesTRCRNuance3/8/2012$14.64 $29.18 5 years100%-9.28%
CH Energy Group,IncCHGFortis3/6/2012$50.67 $66.60 9 mos31%4.22%
Sera Care Life ScienceSRLSLinden CP3/6/2012$0.90 $3.97 3 yrs342%51.98%
Taleo CorporationTLEOOracle2/10/2012$8.00 $45.00 3 yrs469%54.28%
Pep Boys-Many,Moe,JPBYGores1/31/2012$9.58 $15.00 5 mos56%12.92%
Novellus Systems IncNVLSLam Resear12/15/2011$26.00 $44.00 16 mos70%55.95%
Demand Tec, Inc.DMANIBM Corp12/9/2012$5.45 $13.20 5 mos70%8.45%
Success Factors, Inc.SFSFSAP of GMY12/4/2011$7.75 $40.00 3 yrs416%-4.10%

Saturday, July 7, 2012

Equities Research Maintains SELL RATING on CMG & UA


My work (Equities Research, Tommy Renna) is mentioned near the two minute mark of this CNBC TV clip.
CMG
After being bullish on Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE: CMG) for nearly 6 years and watching the stock soar from $50 to $440, on the morning of April 20,2012 I became bearish. Since my Sell rating ($430.78) that morning shares have declined $47 or -11% vs. the S&P500 index which has decline 1.62% over the same 11 week period.
click to view my sell call mention on CNBC TV 4/20/2012  (approx. 2 minutes into clip)

UA
I issued a Sell rating on Under Armour (NYSE: UA) four weeks ago when shares hit a new all time high @ $105. Since the call, shares of UA have declined $13 or -12.55% vs the S&P500 index which is up 2.19% over the same period.

Earnings Season kicks off this week and I will be busy examining 10Qs & 10Ks looking for companies with weakening fundamentals trading at premiums that I will recommend as short picks.
Companies growing fundamentals that are trading at discounts in the market place will be included in by long picks.

All my research is 100% objective, give it a try and subscribe today.
A newsletter subscription is well worth the time and energy that I will save you from doing the work.

*Remember, I am only looking for value stocks that are growing on the long side and overbought stocks trading at premiums with weakening fundamentals on the sell side.


**Warren Buffett, Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway: 2000 Annual Report:
"Common yardsticks such as dividend yield, the ratio of price to earnings or to book value, and even growth rates have nothing to do with valuation except to the extent they provide clues to the amount and timing of cash flows into and from the business. Indeed, growth can destroy value if it requires cash inputs in the early years of a project or enterprise that exceed the discounted value of the cash that those assets will generate in later years.
Market commentators and investment managers who glibly refer to growth and value styles as contrasting approaches to investment are displaying their ignorance, not their sophistication. Growth is simply a component--usually a plus, sometimes a minus-- in the value equation."