Showing posts with label Renna. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Renna. Show all posts

Friday, February 1, 2013

October 2007 Peak Stock Pick (Acquired by Home Depot)

With the Markets Reaching 5 year highs I circled back today to find out what I said in October 2007.

In October 2007 I was able to find an undervalued stock at the market highs that I picked in my weekly newsletter. US HOMES Systems would get acquired in less than 4 years by Home Depot for an 80% return while the S&P 500 index declined 7.8% over  the same period.

October 23,2007 Pick :U.S.Home Systems $6.93
October 12,2012 USHS Acquired by Home Depot for $12.50 cash

Equities Research Archives USHS



click to Equities Research favorite stock YAHOO (NASDAQ:YHOO)




top 2012 Warnings:


Chipotle Mexican Grill decline 47%


Under Armour decline 14%

July 11,2012 low $45.27

APPLE 24% decline 3 months

January 25,2013 low $440





Don't know what to do with Market at a 5 year high?   

My February 2012 Newsletter is ready, subscribe now! 

 Take my fundamental work and use your technical skills to build positions for the long term.




Tuesday, July 24, 2012

Saturday, July 7, 2012

Equities Research Maintains SELL RATING on CMG & UA


My work (Equities Research, Tommy Renna) is mentioned near the two minute mark of this CNBC TV clip.
CMG
After being bullish on Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE: CMG) for nearly 6 years and watching the stock soar from $50 to $440, on the morning of April 20,2012 I became bearish. Since my Sell rating ($430.78) that morning shares have declined $47 or -11% vs. the S&P500 index which has decline 1.62% over the same 11 week period.
click to view my sell call mention on CNBC TV 4/20/2012  (approx. 2 minutes into clip)

UA
I issued a Sell rating on Under Armour (NYSE: UA) four weeks ago when shares hit a new all time high @ $105. Since the call, shares of UA have declined $13 or -12.55% vs the S&P500 index which is up 2.19% over the same period.

Earnings Season kicks off this week and I will be busy examining 10Qs & 10Ks looking for companies with weakening fundamentals trading at premiums that I will recommend as short picks.
Companies growing fundamentals that are trading at discounts in the market place will be included in by long picks.

All my research is 100% objective, give it a try and subscribe today.
A newsletter subscription is well worth the time and energy that I will save you from doing the work.

*Remember, I am only looking for value stocks that are growing on the long side and overbought stocks trading at premiums with weakening fundamentals on the sell side.


**Warren Buffett, Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway: 2000 Annual Report:
"Common yardsticks such as dividend yield, the ratio of price to earnings or to book value, and even growth rates have nothing to do with valuation except to the extent they provide clues to the amount and timing of cash flows into and from the business. Indeed, growth can destroy value if it requires cash inputs in the early years of a project or enterprise that exceed the discounted value of the cash that those assets will generate in later years.
Market commentators and investment managers who glibly refer to growth and value styles as contrasting approaches to investment are displaying their ignorance, not their sophistication. Growth is simply a component--usually a plus, sometimes a minus-- in the value equation."

Wednesday, March 28, 2012

PRICELINE (PCLN) up 3000% since Stockdiagnostics' Upgrade

March 28.2012
Priceline.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:PCLN) traded at an all time (13 year) high yesterday before closing @ $728.85. Stockdiagnostics upgraded PCLN @ $23.48 on May 13,2004 after the company reported 1st quarter financials for the period ending March 31,2004.
In less than 8 years the shares have a cumulative return of 3004% vs 29% for the S&P500 index during this same time frame.

click to PCLN Stockdiagnostics OPS chart
click to PCLN GFNN news story


Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG) traded at an all time high yesterday before closing @ $421.37. Stockdiagnostics upgraded CMG @ $50.78 on April 27,2006 after the company reported 1st quarter financials for the period ending March 31,2006.
Since the upgrade shares have had a cumulative return of 730% vs. 8% for the Standard & Poor 500 Index over that same period.

click to CMG GFNN news story
click to CMG Stockdiagnostics OPS Chart

CBS Corporation (NYSE: CBS) traded at a  4 year high yesterday before closing @ $32.50. Stockdiagnostics upgraded CBS @ $14.93 (dividend adjusted) on May 10,2010 after the company reported 1st quarter financials for the period ending March 31,2010. Since the upgrade shares have gained 117% vs 22% for the S&P 500 over the same 2 year period.
click to CBS Stockdiagnostics OPS chart
click to CBS GFNN news story


Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. (NYSE:RGR) traded at an all time (22 year) high yesterday before closing @ $48.90. Stockdiagnostics upgraded RGR @ $10.64 (dividend adjusted) on August 5,2009 after the company reported 2nd quarter financials for the period ending June 30,2009.
Since the upgrade the stock, has a 360% cumulative return vs. 41% for the S&P 500 index in the same time frame.

click to RGR Stockdiagnostics OPS chart
click to RGR GFNN news story
click to RGR GFNN news story 2

Targacept, Inc. (NASDAQ:TRGT) closed yesterday @ $5.28.
Stockdiagnostics suspended the ranking on TRGT, November 23,2010 after the company reported 3rd quarter financials for the period ending September 30,2010. TRGT was diagnosed with the EPS SYNDROME, which is a red flag and warns extreme caution should be exercised before owning shares of companies with a Suspended ranking. Since the EPS Syndrome was detected 16 months ago, shares have declined from $22.43, down over $16 or 76%. During this same period the S&P500 index is up 20%.
click to TRGT Stockdiagnostics OPS chart
click to TRGT GFNN news story


Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) traded at an all time (28 year) high yesterday before closing @ $614.48.  Stockdiagnostics upgraded AAPL @ $110.00 on May 14,2007, after the company reported  2nd quarter 2007 financials  for the period ending March 31,2007. AAPL has been ranked a "1" for 20 consecutive quarters.

Since the upgrade less than 5 years ago, shares are up 458% vs the Standard & Poor 500 Index is down 6% over the same period.

Terra Nitrogen Company, L.P. Co (NYSE: TNH) reached an all time (20 year) high yesterday before closing @ $249.79. Stockdiagnostics upgraded TNH @ $58.06 (adjusted for 18 dividends) on August 3,2007 after the company reported 2nd quarter 2007 financials for the period ending June 30,2007.
Shares are up 330%, while the S&P 500 has declined 1% in the same time frame. This income stock has 36.71% annual total return since August 2007.

Equities Research stock picker, Tom Renna, recommended Terra and other Agrochemicals stocks in his 2007 newsletter. (note: Terra Industries (NYSE:TRA) has since been acquired and PotashCorp (NYSE:POT) has split 3 for 1 over this period.)
click to TNH Stockdiagnostics OPS chart
click to TNH GFNN news story
click to TNH 2007 Recommendation (RENNA)
click to 6 month Performance 10/2007-4/2008 (Renna)
Terra Industries Acquisition Release
PotashCorp split release

Wednesday, February 1, 2012

January Review @ Equities Research

2/01/2012
Datawatch Corporation (NASDAQ:DWCH) reached a 52 week high yesterday, before closing @ $9.05. Stockdiagnostics upgraded DWCH @ $5.37 on August 17,2011 after the company reported 3rd quarter financials for the period ending June 30,2011. Shares are up 68% in less than 6 months.
click to DWCH Stockdiagnostics OPS chart

1/31/2012
Pep Boys-Manny, Moe & Jack (NYSE:PBY) announced yesterday it will be acquired for $15 a share.  Stockdiagnostics upgraded PBY @ $9.58 (dividend adjusted) on September 12, 2011 after the company reported 2nd quarter financials for the period ending July 31,2011. Since the upgrade shares have appreciated 56% in 5 months.
click to PBY Stockdiagnostics OPS chart
click to AUTO PARTS call 2007 (Renna)

1/30/2012
Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ: DLTR) reached an all time (17 year) high this week before closing Friday @ $84.64. Stockdiagnostics upgraded DLTR @ $33.72 (split adjusted) on November 27,2009 after the company reported 3rd quarter financials for the period ending October 31,2009. Since the upgrade shares have gained 151%.
 
 
1/29/2012
Artic Cat Inc.(NASDAQ:ACAT) closed at an all time (22 year) high Friday @ $30.65. Stockdiagnostics upgraded ACAT @ $14.62 on August 15,2011 after the company reported 1st quarter 2012 financials for the period ending June 30,2011. Since the upgrade, shares are up $16 or 109% in 5 months.
click to ACAT Stockdiagnostics OPS chart

1/28/2012
CBS Corporation (NYSE: CBS) closed near a 4 year high yesterday @ $ 28.84. Stockdiagnostics upgraded CBS @ $15.34 on May 10,2010 after the company reported 1st quarter financials for the period ending March 31,2010. Since the upgrade shares have gained 92% (including 11 dividends) vs. 13% for the S&P 500 over the same 20 months.
click to CBS Stockdiagnostics OPS chart
click to CBS GFNN news story

1/27/2012
J.C.Penney Company, Inc. (NYSE: JCP) closed up 15% yesterday @ $40.72. Stockdiagnostics upgraded JCP on September 12,2011 after the company reported financials for the 2nd quarter ending July 31,2011. Since the upgrade the stock (including 2 dividends)is up 59% in 4 months.
click to JCP Stockdiagnostics OPS chart

click to 2008 JCP Recommendation (Renna)
click to 3 week Performance chart (Renna '08)
click to 4 month Performance chart (Renna'08)

1/26/2012
Monro Muffler Brake,Inc. (NASDAQ:MNRO) closed at an all time (21 year) high yesterday @ $42.70. Stockdiagnostics upgraded MNRO on June 16,2009 after the company reported 2009 4th quarter financials for the period ending March 31,2009. Since the upgrade, shares have a cumulative return of 161%, (including 10 dividends and a 3:2 stock split in December 2010) or 45% annual return.
click to MNRO Stockdiagnostics OPS chart
click to MNRO GFNN news story
click to AUTO PARTS CALL  made in 2007 (RENNA)

1/25/2012
Perry Ellis International Inc. (NASDAQ:PERY)shares closed @$15.85 yesterday. Stockdiagnostics downgraded  PERY on April 29,2011 after the company reported 2011 4th quarter financials for the period ending January 31,2011. Shares are down 43 % in the 9 months since the downgrade.
Stockdiagnostics  suspended PERY ranking on June 13,2011 after the company reported 1st quarter financials for the period ending April 30,2011. PERY was detected with  the EPS Syndrome @ $24,68 and the shares have since dropped 35%in 7 months.
click to PERY Stockdiagnostics OPS chart

1/24/2012
Targacept, Inc. (NASDAQ:TRGT) traded at a 52 week low yesterday before closing the session @ $5.80.
Stockdiagnostics suspended the ranking on TRGT, November 23,2010 after the company reported 3rd quarter financials for the period ending September 30,2010. TRGT was diagnosed with the EPS SYNDROME, which is a red flag and warns extreme caution should be exercised before owning shares of companies with a Suspended ranking. Since the EPS Syndrome was detected, shares have declined from $22.43, down over $16 or 74%.
click to TRGT Stockdiagnostics OPS chart
click to TRGT GFNN news story

1/23/2012
NCI, Inc (NASDAQ:NCIT) closed at an all time (6 year) low on Friday @ $7.80. Stockdiag nostics suspended the ranking on NCIT May 9,2011 after the company reported 1st quarter financials for the period ending March 31,2011. NCIT was diagnosed with the EPS SYNDROME, which is a red flag and warns extreme caution should be exercised before owning such shares.
Since the EPS SYNDROME was detected @ $22.15, shares have fallen over $14, or down 65% in 8 months.
click to NCIT Stockdiagnostics OPS chart
click to GFNN definition of EPS SYNDROME

1/20/2012
Tyler Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:TYL) closed at an all time (25 year) high yesterday at $34.61. Stockdiagnostics upgraded TYL on August 2,2011 after the company reported financials for the 2nd quarter ending June 30,2011. Since the upgrade, TYL has gained 35% vs. 4.82% for  the S&P500 Index during this same 5 month period.

click to TYL Stockdiagnostics OPS chart
1/19/2012
OSI Systems, Inc (NASDAQ:OSIS) closed at an all time (14 year) high yesterday @ $54.17. Stockdiagnostics upgraded OSIS on February 2,2009 after the company reported 2nd quarter financials for the period ending December 31,2008. Since the upgrade at $16.26, OSIS has a cumulative return of 233% in 3 years.
click to OSIS Stockdiagnostics OPS chart
click to OSIS GFNN news story
1/18/2012

Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. (NYSE:RGR) closed at an all time (22 year) high yesterday @ $39.67. Stockdiagnostics upgraded RGR on August 5,2009 after the company reported 2nd quarter financials for the period ending June 30,2009. Since the upgrade the stock, including 14 dividends, has a 258% cumulative return vs. the S&P 500 index which has 29% in the same time frame.

click to RGR Stockdiagnostics OPS chart

click to RGR GFNN news story

click to RGR GFNN news story 2

1/17/2012

AutoZone Inc. (NYSE: AZO) closed at an all time (21 year) high Friday @ $344.44. Stockdiagnostics upgraded AZO on March 20,2006 after the company reported 2nd quarter financials for the period ending February 28,2006. Shares of AZO have gained 253% in nearly 6 years since the upgrade vs. the S&P500 Index which is down 1% over that same period.

click to AZO Stockdiagnostics OPS chart
click to AZO GFNN news story

1/16/2012

Colfax Corporation (NYSE: CFX) reached an all time intra-day high Friday before before closing at $32.72. Stockdiagnostics upgraded CFX on March 10,2010 after the company reported 4th quarter financials for the period ending December 31,2009. Since the upgrade, shares have gained 189% in 22 months vs. 12% for  the S&P 500 index in this same time period.

click to CFX Stockdiagnostics OPS chart
click to CFX GFNN news story
1/15/2012
Pall Corporation (NYSE: PLL) closed Friday at an all time (21 year) high @ $59.86. Stockdiagnostics upgraded PLL on December 15,2008 after the company reported 1st quarter financials for the period ending October 31,2008. Shares have a 134% cumulative gain in 39 months (30% annually), including 12 quarterly dividends.

click to PLL Stockdiagnostics OPS chart

click to PLL GFNN news story

1/14/2012
 
Tredegar Corporation (NYSE:TG) reached a 9 year high this week, before closing yesterday at $23.69. Stockdiagnostics upgraded TG on May 16,2011 after the company reported 1st quarter financials for the period ending March 31,2011. Shares have gained 32% (including 3 dividends), in the past 8 months, while the S&P 500 index has fallen 3% in this time period.
 
1/13/2012
Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:TSCO) closed at an all time (18 year) high yesterday @ $80.20. Stockdiagnostics upgraded TSCO on November 6,2009  after the company reported  3rd quarter financials for the period ending September 30,2009.  The stock has split 2:1 since the upgrade and has also paid 8 quarterly dividends. Since the upgrade the shares have a  cumulative return of 239% in 26 months vs. the S&P500 which has gained 21% over the same period.
1/12/2012
NewMarket Corp. (NYSE:NEU) closed at an all time (26 year) high yesterday @ $207.86. Stockdiagnostics upgraded NEU on May 6,2009 after the company reported 1st quarter financials for the period ending March 31,2009. Since the upgrade at $46.93, shares have a cumulative return of 353% (including 11 quarterly dividends) vs. the S&P 500 index which has gained 40% over the same period.
1/11/2012
Liquidity Services, Inc. (NASDAQ:LQDT) closed at an all time high yesterday of $40.25. Stockdiagnostics upgraded LQDT on February 22,2010 after the company reported 1st quarter financials for the period ending December 31,2009. Since the upgrade less than 2 years ago, the stock has a cumulative return of 227%. 
01/10/2012
Ross Stores, Inc. (NASDAQ:ROST) closed at an all time (26 year) high yesterday @$50.38. Stockdiagnostics upgraded ROST on June 23,2008 after the company reported 1st quarter financials for the period ending April 30,2008. Since the upgrade 42 months ago, the Standard & Poor 500 Index is flat, while ROST shares have a cumulative return of 182% or 33% annualized (including 14 quarterly dividends and a 2:1 stock split last month).
01/09/2012
Asure Software, Inc. (NASDAQ:ASUR) shares closed Friday at a 3 year high of $7.27. Stockdiagnostics upgrade ASUR to a "1" ranking on August 17,2011 after the company reported 2nd quarter financials for the period ending June 30,2011. ASUR shares have now more than doubled from the time of the upgrade at $3.50 less than 6 months ago.
01/06/2012
Humana Inc., (NYSE:HUM) shares closed at an all time high yesterday at $91.68. Equities Research stock picker,Tom Renna, selected HUM at $20 a share in his March 3,2009 newsletter (found here). Since the pick , shares have appreciated over 326% in less than 3 years (including dividends) vs the S&P 500 index which is up 83% in that same time frame.
Investors were panicking and the selling pushed the market to a 12 year low below 7000. Using the Stockdiagnostics research tool, Renna was able to filter through the noise and emotions of the market and find a company that was growing cash flow, while its stock  was trading at a discount to cash flow. 
01/05/2012
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG) closed yesterday at an all time high of $348.75. CMG was one of the top performing stocks in 2011 trading up 58% on the year.
Stockdiagnostics upgraded CMG to a "1" ranking on April 27,2006 after the company reported 1st quarter financials for the period ending March 31,2006. Since being ranked a "1", CMG has had a cumulative return of 587% vs. the Standard & Poor 500 Index which is 2% lower over that same period. CMG shares have annualized 41% per year.
01/04/2012
Jazz Pharmaceuticals,Inc (NASDAQ:JAZZ) closed yesterday at $38.59. Shares of JAZZ hit an all time in the 4th quarter of $47.88. JAZZ was a top performing stock for 2011, up 96% for the year.
Stockdiagnostics upgraded JAZZ on May 17,2010 from a "7" ranking to a "6" ranking , and shares have gained 350% cumulative return over those past 20 months.
Since JAZZ was upgraded by Stockdiagnostics to a "1" ranking on November 17,2010, shares have gained 156% in 13 months.
01/03/2012
Edac Technologies Corporation (NASDAQ:EDAC) closed Friday at $11.05, to finish the year with a cumulative return of 226%. Stockdiagnostics upgraded EDAC on August 3,2011 after company reported 2nd quarter financials for the period ending June 30,2011. Shares have appreciated 75% since the upgrade 4 months ago.
1/02/2012
The TJX Companies, Inc (NYSE: TJX) closed Friday at $64.55, up 47% for the year (including $0.72 in dividends). Stockdiagnostics upgraded TJX to a "1" ranking on September 17,2001 when the shares were at $14.54 (adjusted for splits). Since the upgrade, shares have returned an annualized return including dividends of 16.25% over 10 years, for a 367% cumulative return.