Thursday, November 3, 2016

Under Armour Stock Down 36%

Check out this chart from StockCharts.com for UA

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Under Armour (NYSE: UA $30.79) closed yesterday down 36% since closing @ $48.20 (adjusted for split) on November 2,2015. Over the Same 1 year period the S&P500 Index which closed yesterday @ 2097 is down a mere 7 points from November 2,2015 close @ 2097 (is flat.) 

The company filed their 3rd quarter 10Q with the Securities and Exchange Commission yesterday.

Highlights from 10Q 


  • DEBT INCREASES to Over $1 Billion



  • Related Party Transactions : CEO Kevin Plank entity Sagamore Development Holdings sold property for $70.3 million to Under Armour. According this news story the sale price was more than twice what Plank paid for the property in 2014.


  • Allowance for Doubtful Accounts As of 9/30/16 $33.6 million, 12/31/15 $5.9 million 9/30/15 $6.3 million.

  • Under Armour trailing 9 qtrs (aggregate) Negative -($280 Million) operational cashflow. $1 Billion/debt


  •  Company Improved EPS growth due to lower Q3 2016 (32.6%) tax rate vs Q3 2015 (38.8%)
  • Company enjoys higher gross profit margins because they record shipping and handling fees as net revenue but expense the cost as selling and general administrative expenses vs cost of revenue. The $25.7 million in Q3 charged in SG&A helped gross profit increase from 45.7% to 47.5%.
  • Company Recorded more than $65 Million of Net Revenue from shipping and handling fees for the first 9 months of 2016 up from $40 million attributed to net sales in first nine months of 2015


Equities Research Warning on Monday October 24th, the day prior to the 3rd Quarter Earning press release.

Below is the performance of the October Put Options from Monday the 24th to Friday October 28th.

Put Prices on Friday October 28
Put Prices on Monday October 24,2016 (below)

Monday, October 24, 2016

Short Pick: Under Armour Hype Will Take Back Seat To Weak Fundamentals This Week

Under Armour (NYSE: UA) will report 3rd quarter financials on Tuesday and Wall Street continues to be Bullish.

Equities Research continues to Warn Investors to stay away from this high flyer and focus on the weak fundamentals and not the Hype! At end of day the rising debt, high interest expenses and declining operational cash flow will be reflected into a lower stock price.


Trade Card from Capital Market Laboratory

 

Performance of Recent Short Picks from EQUITIES RESEARCH

Friday, August 12, 2016

Summer 2016 Newsletter

Complimentary     
Summer 2016 Newsletter 
(issued on July 1,2016 to paid subscribers)

Long Picks :
Symbid (SBID) $0.17  (Equity Crowdfunding)
MeetMe,Inc (MEET) $5.33
Sabre Corporation (SABR) $26.79

Short Picks 
Under Armour (UA) $40.13
Titan Machinery (TITN) $ $11.15
NOODLES (NDLS) $9.78
 
top long pick SYMBID




   Fundamental Charts








 
 
     




Symbid (SBID)  is a highly speculative penny stock trading at a market capitalization of approximately $5 million. It is the ONLY publicly traded equity crowdfunding that I know of in the world.    



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