6 Years Ago CNBC
mentioned Equities Research Warning on Chipotle @ $440 and stock slid to
$230 by years end in 2012.
April 20,2012 Chipotle $CMG filed 10Q @ 6am. I examined # and after being bullish since IPO, I went Bearish. Herb Greenberg on CNBC raised my Red Flag on CNBC TV ( 2:40 mark on clip) How to Play McDonald's, Analyst https://t.co/PwxwWXbDZD
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Feb. 5,2015 -- Under Armour CEO Kevin Plank talks about why he's buying the MyFitnessPal and Endomondo apps for a total of about $560 million. Equities Research Looks at Under Armour *Negative Cash Flow (~goodwill $472 million)
On Thursday morning Under Armour (NYSE: UA) reported FY2015 earnings sending the stock $20 higher from $65.58 to close the week @ $85.43. Up 30% in two days.
Record Sales and earnings were super impressive, but a close look at the cash flow statement raises a RED FLAG. note: As of Sunday (1/31/16) Under Armour has not yet filed their 10K annual report with the Securities and Exchange Commission as of this morning so we are not able to dig deep into footnotes and other exhibits at this time.
A look at the 8K filed on Thursday can be found here.
Before I jump to the FY2015 Negative $44 Million Operational Cash Flow, lets look at 2 recent SEC filings that should make investors wonder how many total shares are really outstanding when including Class A, Class B and Class C shares.
Shares Fall 8.5% in 1 day
On November 12,2015 Under Armour traded at $94.16 with volume of 3 million shares.
On November 13,2015 Under Armour traded at $86.08 with volume of 7 million shares.
What happened?
At 10am November 12th CEO Kevin Plank filed this SC 13D/A with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
"(Kevin Plank)entered into a pre-arranged stock trading plan to sell shares of the Issuer’s Class B Common Stock and, if and when issued, the Issuer’s Class C Common Stock."
"If the Reporting Person completes all the planned sales under this trading plan, he would beneficially own 35,700,000 shares of Class B Common Stock and Class A Common Stock, representing approximately 16.6% of the total shares of Class A and Class B Common Stock outstanding as of September 30, 2015 and representing approximately 66.5% of the combined voting power of the Issuer outstanding as of September 30, 2015".
Consolidated Class Action Lawsuit
August 14,2015 this DEFA 14A filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission was filed.
"Under Armour ..is currently involved in a consolidated class action lawsuit brought against the Company and the members of the Company’s Board of Directors on behalf of purported stockholders of the Company in connection with the creation by the Company of a new class of common stock, referred to as the Class C common stock, par value $0.0003 1/3 per share"
Are You Still Long? Operational Cash Flow for FY2015 was NEGATIVE $44 Million! vs Operational Cash Flow FY2014 of Positive $219 Million.
Year over Year Operational Cash Flow declined by $263 Million
Operational Cash Flow FY2010: $50 million FY2011: $15 million Fy2012: $200million FY2013: $120 million FY2014: $219 million FY2015: NEGATIVE ($44 Million) Cash Flow used in 2 Acquisitions during 2015. $475 million for MyPalFitness.com $85 million for Endomondo $560 Million total cost, $472 million GOODWILL Under Armour Stock Price has had a History of Following Cash Flow. November 18,2005 IPO
Under Writer: Goldman Sachs. 9.5 million shares @ $13 (adj for 2 (2 for 1)splits $3.25).
Shares went from $13 to $68 on August 21,2007.
Enter Equities Research
Equities Research went bearish (A-E) on UA at $68 to $15 before going Bullish.(F)
