Friday, November 4, 2016
Short Pick Noodles Misses
Last night after the close Noodles (NASDAQ: NDLS) reported a weak 3rd Quarter sending the stock down at the open this morning 5%.
Equities Research Summer Newsletter Short Picks are all down significantly over the 4 months since the picks were made, while the Standard and Poors 500 Index remains flat.
Under Armour Reported 3rd Quarter Financials last week sending stock down $7 for the week.
Next up will be Titan Machinery reporting 3rd Quarter financials either the last week of November or early December. Unlike Noodles and Under Armour, which are just over valued stocks with weakening fundamentals, Titan Machinery may find themselves out of business soon unless they are able to raise capital.
Warning on Titan Machinery
Thursday, November 3, 2016
Under Armour Stock Down 36%
Under Armour (NYSE: UA $30.79) closed yesterday down 36% since closing @ $48.20 (adjusted for split) on November 2,2015. Over the Same 1 year period the S&P500 Index which closed yesterday @ 2097 is down a mere 7 points from November 2,2015 close @ 2097 (is flat.)
The company filed their 3rd quarter 10Q with the Securities and Exchange Commission yesterday.
Highlights from 10Q
- DEBT INCREASES to Over $1 Billion
- Related Party Transactions : CEO Kevin Plank entity Sagamore Development Holdings sold property for $70.3 million to Under Armour. According this news story the sale price was more than twice what Plank paid for the property in 2014.
- Allowance for Doubtful Accounts As of 9/30/16 $33.6 million, 12/31/15 $5.9 million 9/30/15 $6.3 million.
- Under Armour trailing 9 qtrs (aggregate) Negative -($280 Million) operational cashflow. $1 Billion/debt
- Company Improved EPS growth due to lower Q3 2016 (32.6%) tax rate vs Q3 2015 (38.8%)
- Company enjoys higher gross profit margins because they record shipping and handling fees as net revenue but expense the cost as selling and general administrative expenses vs cost of revenue. The $25.7 million in Q3 charged in SG&A helped gross profit increase from 45.7% to 47.5%.
- Company Recorded more than $65 Million of Net Revenue from shipping and handling fees for the first 9 months of 2016 up from $40 million attributed to net sales in first nine months of 2015
Equities Research Warning on Monday October 24th, the day prior to the 3rd Quarter Earning press release.
Below is the performance of the October Put Options from Monday the 24th to Friday October 28th.
Put Prices on Friday October 28
Put Prices on Monday October 24,2016 (below)
Labels:
10Q,
Equities Research,
Plank,
Profit Margins,
Sagamore Develooment Holdings,
Short PIck,
Under Armour
Monday, October 24, 2016
Short Pick: Under Armour Hype Will Take Back Seat To Weak Fundamentals This Week
Under Armour (NYSE: UA) will report 3rd quarter financials on Tuesday and Wall Street continues to be Bullish.
Equities Research continues to Warn Investors to stay away from this high flyer and focus on the weak fundamentals and not the Hype! At end of day the rising debt, high interest expenses and declining operational cash flow will be reflected into a lower stock price.
Trade Card from Capital Market Laboratory
Performance of Recent Short Picks from EQUITIES RESEARCH
Equities Research continues to Warn Investors to stay away from this high flyer and focus on the weak fundamentals and not the Hype! At end of day the rising debt, high interest expenses and declining operational cash flow will be reflected into a lower stock price.
Trade Card from Capital Market Laboratory
UNDER ARMOUR WARNING MARCH 2016
Equities Research Short Pick Under Armour August 2007 Short @ $68. Shares slid to $15
Equities Research Short Pick Under Armour August 2007 Short @ $68. Shares slid to $15
Performance of Recent Short Picks from EQUITIES RESEARCH
- Titan Machinery : More Related Party Transactions
- Titan Machinery: Directors Draining All Cash In Related Party Deals
Labels:
Noodles,
Short PIck,
sp500,
Stock Picks,
Titan Machinery,
Tommy Renna,
Under Armour
Wednesday, February 10, 2016
DISNEY Up 1100% Since Being Added to Dow
On May 6, 1991 the Dow Jones Industrial Index added The Walt Disney Company (DIS) , Caterpillar (CAT) and J.P. Morgan.
May 6,1991 vs February 9,2016
DJIA 2,941.64 16,014 444% 7.1% annually
DIS $7.77 $92.32 1088% 10.5% annually
CAT $3.50 $63.93 1726% 12.4% annually
JPM $3.06 $56.20 1736% 12.5% annually
10 Year Return
February 9,2006
DJIA 10,883 16,014 47% 3.9% annually
DIS $22.70 $92.32 306% 15.1% annually
Since Stockdiagnostics Upgrade February 14,2005 , Disney has gained 269% (12.6% annual) in 11 years vs a 50% (3.8% annual)gain for the Dow Jones Industrial Average over the same time frame.
click to DIS Stockdiagnostics OPS chart
click to DIS GFNN news story
May 6,1991 vs February 9,2016
DJIA 2,941.64 16,014 444% 7.1% annually
DIS $7.77 $92.32 1088% 10.5% annually
CAT $3.50 $63.93 1726% 12.4% annually
JPM $3.06 $56.20 1736% 12.5% annually
10 Year Return
February 9,2006
DJIA 10,883 16,014 47% 3.9% annually
DIS $22.70 $92.32 306% 15.1% annually
Since Stockdiagnostics Upgrade February 14,2005 , Disney has gained 269% (12.6% annual) in 11 years vs a 50% (3.8% annual)gain for the Dow Jones Industrial Average over the same time frame.
click to DIS Stockdiagnostics OPS chart
click to DIS GFNN news story
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