Thursday, May 25, 2017

Titan Machinery Reports Q1 USA SALES DECLINE 17% and Lowers FY2018 EPS Guidance

Titan Machinery Chairman announces in FY2018  press release this morning that 
 "the cost savings for fiscal 2018 will be less than previously expected."

TOTAL Fy2018 Q1 US SALES Declined 17% vs Q1 Fy2017
USA Sales Declined from $157 million to $131 million

Titan Machinery (NASDAQ: TITN $15.67)
First Quarter Results 
                                    FY2015      FY2016    FY2017    FY2018
Equipment Revenue    $345m        $244m      $184m      $168m   
Total Revenue             $465m        $353m      $284m      $264m
Net Income (loss)       -($6.5m)    -($6.2m)   -($3.6m)    -($5.9m)
EPS (loss)                    -($0.31)     -($0.29)    -($0.17)     -($0.27)

Stockholder Equity                     Stock                    Market Cap
April 30,2014:  $405,000,000    $16.50 (5/2014)     $365M 
April 30,2017:  $317,000,000    $17.00 (5/2017)     $375M

Titan Closing 15 locations (20% of USA stores) and Schedules Auction Liquidations to unload inventory to raise additional cash to service debt. 
Management Agrees to Pay CoFounder (former President) $650,000 severence.

Income (LOSS) before income taxes)
FY2015: -($38,340,000)
FY2016: -($56,211,000)
FY2017: -($22,713,000)
total loss for 3 years: -($117,264,000)

Monday, May 15, 2017

Facebook: 5 year Anniversary of IPO

May 18,2012 Facebook IPO $38 @ Morgan Stanley
May 15,2017 $150.33 
300% return in 5 years 
31% Annualized Return 5 yrs

May 18,2012 S&P 500 @ 1295

May 15,2017 S&P 500 @ 2390
85% return 5 years
13% Annualized Return 5 yrs

Check out this chart from for FB

Visit to see more great charts.

Wednesday, May 3, 2017

TOP 50 United States Companies By Market Capitalization

October 30,2015 - April 30,2017
18 months
Equities Research: #bearish #SELL
  • S&P 500 has has gained 305 points for a 15% gain.
  • NIKE and Starbucks are no longer in top 50
  • AMZN has gained $149 Billion +51%
  • FB has gained $148 Billion +52%
  • AAPL has gained 87 Billion +13%
  • GOOG gained $143 Billion +29%
  • MSFT gained $109 Billion +26%
  • BRK gained $70 Billion +21%
  • XOM, KO are Flat
  • VZ -$3 Billion (-2%)  DIS -$10 Billion (-5%)
  • WFC -$7 Billion -2%
  • JPM gained $72 Billion +30%
  • WMT gained $44 Billion +24%
  • MCD gained $9 Billion +8%
  • IBM gained $14 Billion +10%
  • ORCL gained $20 Billion +12%
  • Home Depot gained $29 Billion +18%
Charts below from IWeblists)

Monday, May 1, 2017

Titan Machinery: 6th Director RESIGNS

Titan Machinery (NASDAQ: TITN) last week filed a  DEF14 with the Securities and Exchange Commission disclosing that Lead Independent Director JAMES Irwin is resigning from the Board of Directors.

SIX of Titan Machinery's Nine Directors that sat on the Board in May 2015 have now gone including the Co-Founder Peter Christenson who suddenly resigned as President after the company filed a DEF14 in May 2015.

CLOSING STORES IN USA And Focusing on Growth in Europe

TITAN MACHINERY last month the closing of 15 more locations before July 31,2017 and announced FY2018 Sales are expected to decline for Fourth Consecutive Year and the company will not be profitable for a 4th consecutive year.

The closing of 14 Agriculture Locations in the USA will bring store total to 49 USA Agricultural Locations and the closing of 1 construction location will reduce Construction Locations down to 25 USA stores.
Titan has 20 International Locations but does not break down how many are AG and Construction.

  • the 65 Agriculture Locations generated $739 million in sales in FY2017 and loss ($15,7 Million). Average of $11 million in sales per store.
  • the 26 Construction Locations generated $323 million in sales in FY2017 and loss ($5.8 million). Average of $12 million in sales per store.
  • the 20 International Locations generated $150 million in sales in FY2017 and loss ($0.5 Million) Average $7 million in sales per store.

Since November 2016 the stock has climbed from under $9 to $16 a share bringing the market capitalization above $350 million.   The Fundamentals below are from the most recent 10K. Why Wall Street is celebrating these weak financials and valuing the 100 locations at an average of over $3.5 million per location is the greatest example of a stock that is disconnected from the underlying fundamentals of its business. 




 One time Chairman of ZNOMICS (Pink Sheets, ZNOM: one for 285 reverse split: ) is also co-founder of  TITAN Machinery. But there is no mention of ZNOMICS in the biography of the  TITAN director who is up for re-election DEF14A

Cherry Tree relationship Adam Smith Fund.
According to this SEC Filing Adam Smith is disclosed as a a "PROMOTER"

Fy2017 10K FOOTNOTES: DEBT, DEBT and more DEBT

SEEKING ALPHA Writer Doesn't See Anything Criminal or Fraudulent at Titan Machinery that will cause the Stock to Blow UP.
(I on the other hand is not as confident as that writer and have commented on his article here)